Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
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Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
Gube li SAD utrku s vremenom? „Huawei“ počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
Irina Meter/Zoran Meterpro. 04, 2019
Američki trgovinski rat protiv Kine sasvim sigurno ima pozitivne kratkoročne učinke po američko gospodarstvo, ali na duge staze on je vrlo rizičan upravo po same Sjedinjene Države. Mnoge američke tvrtke, poglavito mega-kompanije, prije svega one iz sfere IT tehnologije, na golemom kineskom tržištu godinama su ostvarivale enormne prihode. O tome najbolje svjedoči i slijedeća vijest, objavljena od strane američkog medija The Wall Street Journal.
Naime, kineski tehnološki div Huawei počeo je proizvodnju mobilnih uređaja, u kojima više nema dijelova proizvedenih u SAD-u. Tu je vijest WSJ objavio pozivajući se na izvješće UBS i Fomalhaut Techno Solutions.
Prije uvođenja carina i sankcija ta se kineska IT tvrtka koristila komponentama američkih viskotehnoloških tvrtki Qorvo, Skywork i Broadcom. Međutim sada su te komponente zamijenili proizvodi kineske tvrtke Hisense i japanske Murata. U stvari, potpuno su zamjenjeni američki dijelovi u baznim stanicama 5G i smartfonu Mate 30 Pro. Jedini američki proizvod u smartfonu ostao je Googleov OS Android, ali Huawei će i njega s vremenom zamijeniti vlastitim operativnim sustavom HarmonyOS koji je već gotovo dovršen.
TEKST SE NASTAVLJA NAKON OGLASA
Sponsored content
Neka tvoj ulaz u dom postane ljepši, a dom sigurniji i ugodniji!
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Podsjećamo: Huawei se od svibnja ove godine nalazi pod udarom američkih sankcija. Kako je svojedobno izvijstio The New York Times, predsjednik SAD-a Donald Trump tu kinesku mega-kompaniju nastoji koristiti kao sredstvo pritiska na Peking, usmjereno k postizanju novog trgovinskog sporazuma sukladno američkim interesima. Zbog toga su Huawei i druga najveća kineska IT tvrtka ZTE stavljene na tzv. crni spisak tvrtki koje predstavljaju „ugrozu po američku nacionalnu sigurnost“, temeljem čega je američkim IT tvrtkama zabranjena poslovna suradnja s njima. Međutim, primjena zabrane te suradnje je ubrzo privremeno odgođena, kao što je privremeno odgođena i zabrana poslovanja Huaweia i njegovih tvrtk-kćeri u SAD-u tj. na američkome tržištu.
Na kraju se može, a vjerojatno i hoće dogoditi (što potvrđuje i predmetna vijest) da će američke IT tvrtke koje surađuju s kineskim tehnološkim divovima izgubiti svoje poslove jer će njihova mjesta zauzeti bilo kineski bilo nečiji drugi igrači. Jer postizanje brzog, dugoročnog i sveobuhvatnog američko-kineskog trgovinskog sporzuma, kako je to na početku zamislio predsjednik Donald Trump, više uopće i nije opcija o kojoj se razgovara. U najboljem slučaju potpisat će se samo njegova prva faza iako je i oko toga „zapelo“ usprkos donedavnim optimističkim najavama s obiju strana.
Čini se kako je Kina jednostavno odlučila prihvatiti rizike po svoje gospodarstvo iz trgovinskog rata sa SAD-om i sačekati rezultat slijedećih američkih predsjedničkih izbora početkom studenoga iduće godine, u nadi da će Trumpa poraziti netko od demokratskih kandidata. A ako se to i ne dogodi, s Trumpom se i nakon toga može postići sporazum – logika je, kojom se, vjerojatno, rukovodi kineski državni vrh. Nešto slično upravo je jučer u Londonu najavio i sam Donald Trump, kazavši, kako se sporazum s Kinom može postići i nakon izbora. Koliko je takav scenarij po njega povoljan s obzirom na predizbornu kampanju koja je u punom zamahu, ali i pokrenuti proces njegova opoziva – prosudite sami. Jer kroz postizanje po SAD povoljnog trgovinskog sporazuma s Kinom Trump bi po oponente i suparnike postao nedodirljiv i nezaustavljiv u nastojanju za svojim reizborom. A da bi mu Kina to i omogućila Trump bi Pekingu zasigurno morao dati velike ustupke. Međutim, to bi se onda kosilo s čitavom Trumpovom globalnom gospodarskom koncepcijom, ali i njegovom politikom „America First“ u kojoj dominira upravo protukineska retorika. Osim toga protukineska retorika Washingtona sve više dominira i u sferi globalne geopolitike, o čemu svjedoče i izjave uoči i s jučerašnjeg prvog dana summita NATO saveza u Londonu gdje se sve glasnije upozorava na novu veliku prijetnju po NATO – ovoga puta ne od Rusije (koja se u tom kontekstu niti ne spominje), već upravo Kine koja se NATO-u „ubrzano približava“, kako se izrazio njegov glavni tajnik Jens Stoltenberg.
https://www.geopolitika.news/razgovori/komentari/gube-li-sad-utrku-s-vremenom-huawei-poceo-proizvodnju-bez-dijelova-iz-sad-a/?fbclid=IwAR3uneL1CtGaVdhdo7hj8hRu7VhanTYXcdKJeaijLeOnZNrbA5PxE3Dh_fA
.....................
Prošlo vrijeme kad su jameri mogli sankcijama nešto promijeniti, naprotiv ruska a sada i kineska ekonomija su oživjele zbog sankcija...
Irina Meter/Zoran Meterpro. 04, 2019
Američki trgovinski rat protiv Kine sasvim sigurno ima pozitivne kratkoročne učinke po američko gospodarstvo, ali na duge staze on je vrlo rizičan upravo po same Sjedinjene Države. Mnoge američke tvrtke, poglavito mega-kompanije, prije svega one iz sfere IT tehnologije, na golemom kineskom tržištu godinama su ostvarivale enormne prihode. O tome najbolje svjedoči i slijedeća vijest, objavljena od strane američkog medija The Wall Street Journal.
Naime, kineski tehnološki div Huawei počeo je proizvodnju mobilnih uređaja, u kojima više nema dijelova proizvedenih u SAD-u. Tu je vijest WSJ objavio pozivajući se na izvješće UBS i Fomalhaut Techno Solutions.
Prije uvođenja carina i sankcija ta se kineska IT tvrtka koristila komponentama američkih viskotehnoloških tvrtki Qorvo, Skywork i Broadcom. Međutim sada su te komponente zamijenili proizvodi kineske tvrtke Hisense i japanske Murata. U stvari, potpuno su zamjenjeni američki dijelovi u baznim stanicama 5G i smartfonu Mate 30 Pro. Jedini američki proizvod u smartfonu ostao je Googleov OS Android, ali Huawei će i njega s vremenom zamijeniti vlastitim operativnim sustavom HarmonyOS koji je već gotovo dovršen.
TEKST SE NASTAVLJA NAKON OGLASA
Sponsored content
Neka tvoj ulaz u dom postane ljepši, a dom sigurniji i ugodniji!
Midas - Nativno Internet oglašavanje
Podsjećamo: Huawei se od svibnja ove godine nalazi pod udarom američkih sankcija. Kako je svojedobno izvijstio The New York Times, predsjednik SAD-a Donald Trump tu kinesku mega-kompaniju nastoji koristiti kao sredstvo pritiska na Peking, usmjereno k postizanju novog trgovinskog sporazuma sukladno američkim interesima. Zbog toga su Huawei i druga najveća kineska IT tvrtka ZTE stavljene na tzv. crni spisak tvrtki koje predstavljaju „ugrozu po američku nacionalnu sigurnost“, temeljem čega je američkim IT tvrtkama zabranjena poslovna suradnja s njima. Međutim, primjena zabrane te suradnje je ubrzo privremeno odgođena, kao što je privremeno odgođena i zabrana poslovanja Huaweia i njegovih tvrtk-kćeri u SAD-u tj. na američkome tržištu.
Na kraju se može, a vjerojatno i hoće dogoditi (što potvrđuje i predmetna vijest) da će američke IT tvrtke koje surađuju s kineskim tehnološkim divovima izgubiti svoje poslove jer će njihova mjesta zauzeti bilo kineski bilo nečiji drugi igrači. Jer postizanje brzog, dugoročnog i sveobuhvatnog američko-kineskog trgovinskog sporzuma, kako je to na početku zamislio predsjednik Donald Trump, više uopće i nije opcija o kojoj se razgovara. U najboljem slučaju potpisat će se samo njegova prva faza iako je i oko toga „zapelo“ usprkos donedavnim optimističkim najavama s obiju strana.
Čini se kako je Kina jednostavno odlučila prihvatiti rizike po svoje gospodarstvo iz trgovinskog rata sa SAD-om i sačekati rezultat slijedećih američkih predsjedničkih izbora početkom studenoga iduće godine, u nadi da će Trumpa poraziti netko od demokratskih kandidata. A ako se to i ne dogodi, s Trumpom se i nakon toga može postići sporazum – logika je, kojom se, vjerojatno, rukovodi kineski državni vrh. Nešto slično upravo je jučer u Londonu najavio i sam Donald Trump, kazavši, kako se sporazum s Kinom može postići i nakon izbora. Koliko je takav scenarij po njega povoljan s obzirom na predizbornu kampanju koja je u punom zamahu, ali i pokrenuti proces njegova opoziva – prosudite sami. Jer kroz postizanje po SAD povoljnog trgovinskog sporazuma s Kinom Trump bi po oponente i suparnike postao nedodirljiv i nezaustavljiv u nastojanju za svojim reizborom. A da bi mu Kina to i omogućila Trump bi Pekingu zasigurno morao dati velike ustupke. Međutim, to bi se onda kosilo s čitavom Trumpovom globalnom gospodarskom koncepcijom, ali i njegovom politikom „America First“ u kojoj dominira upravo protukineska retorika. Osim toga protukineska retorika Washingtona sve više dominira i u sferi globalne geopolitike, o čemu svjedoče i izjave uoči i s jučerašnjeg prvog dana summita NATO saveza u Londonu gdje se sve glasnije upozorava na novu veliku prijetnju po NATO – ovoga puta ne od Rusije (koja se u tom kontekstu niti ne spominje), već upravo Kine koja se NATO-u „ubrzano približava“, kako se izrazio njegov glavni tajnik Jens Stoltenberg.
https://www.geopolitika.news/razgovori/komentari/gube-li-sad-utrku-s-vremenom-huawei-poceo-proizvodnju-bez-dijelova-iz-sad-a/?fbclid=IwAR3uneL1CtGaVdhdo7hj8hRu7VhanTYXcdKJeaijLeOnZNrbA5PxE3Dh_fA
.....................
Prošlo vrijeme kad su jameri mogli sankcijama nešto promijeniti, naprotiv ruska a sada i kineska ekonomija su oživjele zbog sankcija...
epikur37- Posts : 45339
2015-08-06
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
kinezoljubac
znas li da kina ubacuje drogu u ameriku
znas li da kina ubacuje drogu u ameriku
_________________
It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigotet adherents of the party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies and nosers-out of unortodoxy.
Orwell 1984
prckov- Posts : 34555
2014-04-19
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
prckov wrote:kinezoljubac
znas li da kina ubacuje drogu u ameriku
jeste i baca malu američku djecu lavovima...
epikur37- Posts : 45339
2015-08-06
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
kinezoljubac, znas li da je kineska ekonomija pala na grane prije '91
sjebo ih trampika
sjebo ih trampika
_________________
It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigotet adherents of the party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies and nosers-out of unortodoxy.
Orwell 1984
prckov- Posts : 34555
2014-04-19
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
prckov wrote:kinezoljubac, znas li da je kineska ekonomija pala na grane prije '91
sjebo ih trampika
evo baš gledam :D
epikur37- Posts : 45339
2015-08-06
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
Eno i rusija poklekla nakon sankcija :D
epikur37- Posts : 45339
2015-08-06
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
ne znam za to ali vidim da bi tebi trebali bacit mozga u glavuepikur37 wrote:prckov wrote:kinezoljubac
znas li da kina ubacuje drogu u ameriku
jeste i baca malu američku djecu lavovima...
_________________
It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigotet adherents of the party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies and nosers-out of unortodoxy.
Orwell 1984
prckov- Posts : 34555
2014-04-19
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
ja ti samo fakte serviram pa ti vidi i gledajepikur37 wrote:prckov wrote:kinezoljubac, znas li da je kineska ekonomija pala na grane prije '91
sjebo ih trampika
evo baš gledam :D
prckov- Posts : 34555
2014-04-19
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
kini je zinula guzica pa cak I kurukulum u australiji diktira
mora jebiga
dode u situaciju ili komunizam svuda ili kapitalizam
te dvije opcije ne mogu dugo na jednoj planeti zajedno
mora jebiga
dode u situaciju ili komunizam svuda ili kapitalizam
te dvije opcije ne mogu dugo na jednoj planeti zajedno
_________________
It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigotet adherents of the party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies and nosers-out of unortodoxy.
Orwell 1984
prckov- Posts : 34555
2014-04-19
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
Ali ne prcko, ja objavim vijest o ekonomiji a ti neki agitprop protiv kine...
no dobro ti si u informacijskom kavezu angloameričke propagande
no dobro ti si u informacijskom kavezu angloameričke propagande
epikur37- Posts : 45339
2015-08-06
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
ne pricam o sankcijamaepikur37 wrote:Eno i rusija poklekla nakon sankcija :D
inace americkim ljevicarima je rusija dezurni krivac za sve
sa kinom posluju I pune dzepove dok rasprodaju zemlju
sjebo ih tramp kojem rusija nije dezurni krivac
nauci nesto kinezoljubac, trebace ti
vidim ti posto nemas blage veze o americkoj politici iz neznanja podrzavas neprijatelje ne samo amerike I zapada opcenito nego I HR
prckov- Posts : 34555
2014-04-19
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
ne kuzis ti kurca epiepikur37 wrote:Ali ne prcko, ja objavim vijest o ekonomiji a ti neki agitprop protiv kine...
no dobro ti si u informacijskom kavezu angloameričke propagande
pojma nemas
prckov- Posts : 34555
2014-04-19
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
evo ljevicari fale kinu
a kude rusiju preko svih lijevih medija
rusija dezurni krivac za sve di je neko prdno
a globalistima kina svetinja, evo gospon bloomberg-u su ko dusa
bas ko tebi epi
_________________
It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigotet adherents of the party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies and nosers-out of unortodoxy.
Orwell 1984
prckov- Posts : 34555
2014-04-19
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
Dececi,ne se svaditi,malo da naucimo da je nemila Kina ipak brutalna ekonomija..samo u 2018. je producirala 25 tRILIONA dolari...,danalje citajte i edukujte se...
Image by Michela Buttignol The Balance 2019
BY KIMBERLY AMADEO
Updated July 30, 2019
China's economy produced $25.3 trillion in 2018, according to the International Monetary Fund. That's based on purchasing power parity which takes into account the effect of exchange rates. That makes it the best method for comparing gross domestic product by country.
It also makes China the world's largest economy. The European Union is second, at $22 trillion. The United States is third, producing $20.5 trillion.
China has 1.38 billion people, more than any other country in the world. China is still a relatively poor country in terms of its standard of living. Its economy only produces $18,120 per person. In comparison, the U.S. gross domestic product per capita is $62,518.
China's low standard of living allows companies located there to pay their workers less than American workers. That makes products cheaper, which lures overseas manufacturers to outsource jobs to China. They then ship the finished goods to the United States, China’s largest trading partner.
These companies dominate their industries. They include the big three energy companies: PetroChina, Sinopec, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation.
China developed cities around these factories to attract workers. As a result, one-fourth of China's economy is in real estate. The government also funded construction of railways and other infrastructure to support growth. As a result, it imported massive amounts of commodities, like aluminum and copper.
By 2013, the 10% annual growth threatened to become a bubble. That's when China looked toward economic reform.
China spends 9% of GDP on infrastructure. In 2013, it launched the One Belt, One Road Initiative, the largest global infrastructure project in history. China will spend $150 billion a year to link 68 countries along the old Silk Road with Europe. It will build ports, railways, and pipelines. It plans to make a China-dominated Eurasia an economic rival to the American-dominated transatlantic trading area.
China's president, Xi Jinping, hopes the project will accomplish four objectives:
[/size][list="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 1.25rem 0px 1.25rem 1.5em; padding-right: 1.5em; padding-left: 0px; counter-reset: none;"]
[*]Provide investments for China's foreign exchange reserves. Most of them are tied up in low-return U.S. Treasurys.
[*]Provide new markets for China's high-speed rail firms, and for cement, steel, and metal exports.
[*]Stabilize countries on China's western border.
[*]Increase China's claims in the South China Sea.
[/list]
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In 2018, China shipped 18% of its exports to the United States. That contributed to a $419 billion trade deficit. China's trade with Hong Kong, at 14%, was almost as much. Its trade with Japan, which was at 6%, and South Korea, at 4.5%, was much less.
China encouraged trade with African nations, investing in their infrastructure in return for oil. It increased trade agreements with Southeast Asian nations and many Latin American countries. That's why President Obama launched the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement. It doesn't include China. One of its goals was to balance China's growing power in the region. In January 2017, President Trump withdrew from the TPP. But the other countries have continued with it on their own.
China does a lot of manufacturing for foreign businesses, including U.S. companies. They ship raw materials to China. Factory workers build the final products and ship them back to the United States. In this way, a lot of China's so-called "exports" are technically American products.
China primarily exports electrical equipment and other types of machinery. This includes computers and data processing equipment as well as optical and medical equipment. It also exports apparel, fabric, and textiles. It's the world's largest exporter of steel.
China’s commodity consumption has fueled a world-wide boom in mining and agriculture. Unfortunately, suppliers over-produced, creating too much supply. As a result, prices cratered in 2015. As China's growth slows, prices for commodities used in manufacturing, such as metals, will drop.
China's Share of World Commodity Consumption in 2014/2015
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China buys U.S. debt to support the value of the dollar. This is because China pegs its currency, the yuan, to the U.S. dollar. It devalues the currency when needed to keep its export prices competitive.
China's role as America's largest banker gives it leverage. For example, China threatens to sell part of its holdings whenever the United States pressures it to raise the yuan's value. Since 2005, China raised the yuan's value by 33% against the dollar. Between 2014 and 2016, the dollar's strength increased by 25%. The rise forced China to devalue the yuan. This ensured its exports would remain competitively priced with those from Asian countries that hadn't tied their currency to the dollar.
On March 8, 2018, Trump announced a 25% tariff on steel imports and a 10% tariff on aluminum. On July 6, Trump's tariffs went into effect for $34 billion of Chinese imports. In return, China levied a 40% tariff on U.S. autos and agricultural exports.
On August 2, 2018, the administration announced a 25% tariff on $16 billion worth of Chinese goods. In response, China announced a 25% tariff on $16 billion worth of U.S. goods.
These accusations are nothing new. China's unfair trade practices were also a hot topic during the 2012 presidential debate. During that debate, President Obama recounted how the U.S. Department of Commerce successfully brought many disputes to the World Trade Organization over unfair practices involving tires, steel, and other materials. The WTO has a specific process to resolve trade disputes.
In 2006, President George W. Bush appointed Henry Paulson as U.S. Treasury Secretary to lower the trade deficit with China. He initiated the “Strategic Economic Dialogue” to open China's market, especially its banking industry. He had several successes. He persuaded Chinese leaders to raise the yuan's value when compared to the dollar by 20% between 2005 and 2008. They also eliminated a 17% tax rebate for exporters. They increased the reserve requirement for central banks to 12%. They also invested $3 billion in the U.S. Blackstone Group.
In 2007, the Commerce Department threatened to apply penalty tariffs to Chinese products. For example, it accused China of dumping its paper exports into the United States. The Commerce Department claimed that China unfairly provided subsidies of 10% to 20% to its manufacturers of glossy paper used in books and magazines. Trade volume had grown 177% in one year. The U.S.-based New Page Corporation brought the anti-dumping case to the Commerce Department. It said it could not compete against subsidized prices.
Before 2013, China enjoyed 30 years of double-digit growth. But government spending was the driving force that fueled it. The government also mandated that its banks provide low interest rates in return for protection of the strategic industry. It created business investment in capital goods. It also led to inflation, a real estate asset bubble, growth in public debt, and severe pollution.
The government's emphasis on job creation left little funding for social welfare programs. As a result, the Chinese population was forced to save for retirement. They didn’t spend, strangling domestic demand. Without robust consumer spending, China was forced to rely on exports to fuel growth.
Most of the growth occurred in the cities along China's east coast. These urban areas attracted 250 million migrant workers from the countryside. Chinese leaders must continue to create jobs for all these workers or face unrest. They remember Mao's Revolution all too well. The government must provide more social services, allowing workers to save less and spend more. Only an increase in domestic demand will enable China to become less reliant on exports.
In addition, leaders must crack down on local corruption. They must find ways to improve the environmental impact of industrialization. Leaders have embarked on an ambitious nuclear and alternative energy program to reduce reliance on dirty coal and imported oil. China signed the Paris Climate Accord. All of these measures are part of China's economic reform.
Trump's trade war interferes with China's plan to slow down. To keep the economy strong, China's leaders have had to lower interest rates and fund infrastructure projects. In October 2018, China's central bank pumped $175 billion into the economy to keep it from stalling.
China also increased tax deductions for machinery, saving businesses 120 billion yuan. China raised both subsidies and grain prices for farmers, as well as allowances for low-income urban dwellers. Its central bank also dropped interest rates three times in two months.
It eliminated loan quotas for banks to increase small business lending. But now China's companies are struggling to repay that debt. Combined private/public debt is two and a half times greater than its GDP.
Its members are China, Russia, and the countries along their borders. These are Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. In June 2016, India and Pakistan were accepted as members. The group represents almost half of the world's population. Now it also has four members that have nuclear weapons: Russia, China, India, and Pakistan.
For that reason, most nearby countries also participate. They can either be observers, dialogue partners, or guests in attendance. Observers are in the process of becoming full members. They include Afghanistan, Belarus, Iran, and Mongolia. The six Dialogue Partners share goals but don't want to become members. They are Armenia, Azerbaijan, Cambodia, Nepal, Sri Lanka, and Turkey. The Guest Attendees participate in the summits. Their members include the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, the Commonwealth of Independent States, and Turkmenistan.
https://www.thebalance.com/china-economy-facts-effect-on-us-economy-3306345[/size][/size]
[size=36]China's Economy and Its Effect on the U.S. Economy[/size]
The Surprising Ways China Affects the U.S. Economy
Image by Michela Buttignol The Balance 2019
BY KIMBERLY AMADEO
Updated July 30, 2019
China's economy produced $25.3 trillion in 2018, according to the International Monetary Fund. That's based on purchasing power parity which takes into account the effect of exchange rates. That makes it the best method for comparing gross domestic product by country.
It also makes China the world's largest economy. The European Union is second, at $22 trillion. The United States is third, producing $20.5 trillion.
China has 1.38 billion people, more than any other country in the world. China is still a relatively poor country in terms of its standard of living. Its economy only produces $18,120 per person. In comparison, the U.S. gross domestic product per capita is $62,518.
China's low standard of living allows companies located there to pay their workers less than American workers. That makes products cheaper, which lures overseas manufacturers to outsource jobs to China. They then ship the finished goods to the United States, China’s largest trading partner.
[size=16]Components of China's Economy
China built its economic growth on low-cost exports of machinery and equipment. Massive government spending went into state-owned companies to fuel those exports. These state-owned companies are less profitable than private firms. They return only 4.9% on assets compared to 13.2% for private companies.These companies dominate their industries. They include the big three energy companies: PetroChina, Sinopec, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation.
China developed cities around these factories to attract workers. As a result, one-fourth of China's economy is in real estate. The government also funded construction of railways and other infrastructure to support growth. As a result, it imported massive amounts of commodities, like aluminum and copper.
By 2013, the 10% annual growth threatened to become a bubble. That's when China looked toward economic reform.
China spends 9% of GDP on infrastructure. In 2013, it launched the One Belt, One Road Initiative, the largest global infrastructure project in history. China will spend $150 billion a year to link 68 countries along the old Silk Road with Europe. It will build ports, railways, and pipelines. It plans to make a China-dominated Eurasia an economic rival to the American-dominated transatlantic trading area.
China's president, Xi Jinping, hopes the project will accomplish four objectives:
[/size][list="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 1.25rem 0px 1.25rem 1.5em; padding-right: 1.5em; padding-left: 0px; counter-reset: none;"]
[*]Provide investments for China's foreign exchange reserves. Most of them are tied up in low-return U.S. Treasurys.
[*]Provide new markets for China's high-speed rail firms, and for cement, steel, and metal exports.
[*]Stabilize countries on China's western border.
[*]Increase China's claims in the South China Sea.
[/list]
[size][size]
China's Exports
China regained its position as the world's largest exporter in 2017, when it exported $2.2 trillion of its production. The EU briefly took the No. 1 spot in 2016. It now is second, exporting $1.9 trillion. The United States is third, exporting $1.6 trillion.In 2018, China shipped 18% of its exports to the United States. That contributed to a $419 billion trade deficit. China's trade with Hong Kong, at 14%, was almost as much. Its trade with Japan, which was at 6%, and South Korea, at 4.5%, was much less.
China encouraged trade with African nations, investing in their infrastructure in return for oil. It increased trade agreements with Southeast Asian nations and many Latin American countries. That's why President Obama launched the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement. It doesn't include China. One of its goals was to balance China's growing power in the region. In January 2017, President Trump withdrew from the TPP. But the other countries have continued with it on their own.
China does a lot of manufacturing for foreign businesses, including U.S. companies. They ship raw materials to China. Factory workers build the final products and ship them back to the United States. In this way, a lot of China's so-called "exports" are technically American products.
China primarily exports electrical equipment and other types of machinery. This includes computers and data processing equipment as well as optical and medical equipment. It also exports apparel, fabric, and textiles. It's the world's largest exporter of steel.
China's Imports
China is the world's second largest importer. In 2017, it imported $1.7 trillion. The United States, the world's largest, imported $2.3 trillion. China imports raw commodities from Latin America and Africa. These include oil and other fuels, metal ores, plastics, and organic chemicals. It's the world's largest importer of aluminum and copper.China’s commodity consumption has fueled a world-wide boom in mining and agriculture. Unfortunately, suppliers over-produced, creating too much supply. As a result, prices cratered in 2015. As China's growth slows, prices for commodities used in manufacturing, such as metals, will drop.
China's Share of World Commodity Consumption in 2014/2015
[/size][/size]
Aluminum | 54% |
Nickel | 50% |
Copper | 48% |
Zinc, Tin | 46% of each |
Steel | 45% |
Lead | 40% |
Cotton | 31% |
Rice | 30% |
Gold | 23% |
Corn | 22% |
Wheat | 17% |
Oil | 12% |
How China Affects the U.S. Economy
China is the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasurys. In May 2019, it owned $1.11 trillion in Treasurys. That's 27% of the public debt held by foreign countries. The U.S. debt to China is lower than the record high of $1.3 trillion held in November 2013.China buys U.S. debt to support the value of the dollar. This is because China pegs its currency, the yuan, to the U.S. dollar. It devalues the currency when needed to keep its export prices competitive.
China's role as America's largest banker gives it leverage. For example, China threatens to sell part of its holdings whenever the United States pressures it to raise the yuan's value. Since 2005, China raised the yuan's value by 33% against the dollar. Between 2014 and 2016, the dollar's strength increased by 25%. The rise forced China to devalue the yuan. This ensured its exports would remain competitively priced with those from Asian countries that hadn't tied their currency to the dollar.
U.S. Accusations of Unfair Trade Practices
On January 22, 2018, President Donald Trump imposed tariffs and quotas on imported Chinese solar panels and washing machines. China is a world leader in solar equipment manufacturing. The World Trade Organization ruled that the United States didn't have a case in levying the tariff.On March 8, 2018, Trump announced a 25% tariff on steel imports and a 10% tariff on aluminum. On July 6, Trump's tariffs went into effect for $34 billion of Chinese imports. In return, China levied a 40% tariff on U.S. autos and agricultural exports.
On August 2, 2018, the administration announced a 25% tariff on $16 billion worth of Chinese goods. In response, China announced a 25% tariff on $16 billion worth of U.S. goods.
These accusations are nothing new. China's unfair trade practices were also a hot topic during the 2012 presidential debate. During that debate, President Obama recounted how the U.S. Department of Commerce successfully brought many disputes to the World Trade Organization over unfair practices involving tires, steel, and other materials. The WTO has a specific process to resolve trade disputes.
In 2006, President George W. Bush appointed Henry Paulson as U.S. Treasury Secretary to lower the trade deficit with China. He initiated the “Strategic Economic Dialogue” to open China's market, especially its banking industry. He had several successes. He persuaded Chinese leaders to raise the yuan's value when compared to the dollar by 20% between 2005 and 2008. They also eliminated a 17% tax rebate for exporters. They increased the reserve requirement for central banks to 12%. They also invested $3 billion in the U.S. Blackstone Group.
In 2007, the Commerce Department threatened to apply penalty tariffs to Chinese products. For example, it accused China of dumping its paper exports into the United States. The Commerce Department claimed that China unfairly provided subsidies of 10% to 20% to its manufacturers of glossy paper used in books and magazines. Trade volume had grown 177% in one year. The U.S.-based New Page Corporation brought the anti-dumping case to the Commerce Department. It said it could not compete against subsidized prices.
Why China Was Deliberately Slowing Its Growth
In August 2018, China's spending on fixed assets such as factory machinery and public works slowed to its lowest point in 20 years. In 2018, China's economic growth rate slowed to 6.7%. Part of that was a deliberate strategy to head off an economic bubble before it burst.Before 2013, China enjoyed 30 years of double-digit growth. But government spending was the driving force that fueled it. The government also mandated that its banks provide low interest rates in return for protection of the strategic industry. It created business investment in capital goods. It also led to inflation, a real estate asset bubble, growth in public debt, and severe pollution.
The government's emphasis on job creation left little funding for social welfare programs. As a result, the Chinese population was forced to save for retirement. They didn’t spend, strangling domestic demand. Without robust consumer spending, China was forced to rely on exports to fuel growth.
Most of the growth occurred in the cities along China's east coast. These urban areas attracted 250 million migrant workers from the countryside. Chinese leaders must continue to create jobs for all these workers or face unrest. They remember Mao's Revolution all too well. The government must provide more social services, allowing workers to save less and spend more. Only an increase in domestic demand will enable China to become less reliant on exports.
In addition, leaders must crack down on local corruption. They must find ways to improve the environmental impact of industrialization. Leaders have embarked on an ambitious nuclear and alternative energy program to reduce reliance on dirty coal and imported oil. China signed the Paris Climate Accord. All of these measures are part of China's economic reform.
Trump's trade war interferes with China's plan to slow down. To keep the economy strong, China's leaders have had to lower interest rates and fund infrastructure projects. In October 2018, China's central bank pumped $175 billion into the economy to keep it from stalling.
How China Avoided the Great Recession
During the financial crisis of 2008, China pledged 4 trillion yuan, about $580 billion, to stimulate its economy to avoid the recession. The funds represented 20% of China's annual economic output. It went toward low-rent housing, infrastructure in rural areas, and construction of roads, railways, and airports.China also increased tax deductions for machinery, saving businesses 120 billion yuan. China raised both subsidies and grain prices for farmers, as well as allowances for low-income urban dwellers. Its central bank also dropped interest rates three times in two months.
It eliminated loan quotas for banks to increase small business lending. But now China's companies are struggling to repay that debt. Combined private/public debt is two and a half times greater than its GDP.
Shanghai Cooperation Organization
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization is a central Asian military alliance that combats terrorism and drug trafficking while supporting free trade agreements. Its members share intelligence and combine military operations to counter both terrorism and cyber-terrorism. It is China's version of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.Its members are China, Russia, and the countries along their borders. These are Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. In June 2016, India and Pakistan were accepted as members. The group represents almost half of the world's population. Now it also has four members that have nuclear weapons: Russia, China, India, and Pakistan.
For that reason, most nearby countries also participate. They can either be observers, dialogue partners, or guests in attendance. Observers are in the process of becoming full members. They include Afghanistan, Belarus, Iran, and Mongolia. The six Dialogue Partners share goals but don't want to become members. They are Armenia, Azerbaijan, Cambodia, Nepal, Sri Lanka, and Turkey. The Guest Attendees participate in the summits. Their members include the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, the Commonwealth of Independent States, and Turkmenistan.
https://www.thebalance.com/china-economy-facts-effect-on-us-economy-3306345[/size][/size]
Guest- Guest
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
Kina ima brutalne investicije love u Jusi,kao sto se sada trudi i u ostatku svijeta..
U prijevodu,za jednostavne mozgove..Kina ima toliko love ko blata,da vise ne znaju gdje bi investirali lovu,pa lova stagnira,a to je u poslovnom svijetu losa stvar..ne oplodjuje se..otuda negativni trendovi,koji su daleko od toga da Kinu oznacavaju kao neko mizerno gospodarstvo..bas naprotiv..
Ako imate dodatna pitanja neuki moji dečeci,slobodno me pitajte..
U prijevodu,za jednostavne mozgove..Kina ima toliko love ko blata,da vise ne znaju gdje bi investirali lovu,pa lova stagnira,a to je u poslovnom svijetu losa stvar..ne oplodjuje se..otuda negativni trendovi,koji su daleko od toga da Kinu oznacavaju kao neko mizerno gospodarstvo..bas naprotiv..
Ako imate dodatna pitanja neuki moji dečeci,slobodno me pitajte..
Guest- Guest
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
sto se Tice Huaweia,fakti su sljedeci...
Huawei books $8.8B profit for 2018 as consumer devices become top moneymaker
Jon Russell[size=10]@jonrussell / 1:15 pm CET • March 29, 2019
Comment
[/size]
Image Credits: Igor Golovniov/SOPA Images/LightRocket / Getty Images
Despite an ongoing tussle with the U.S. government, signs look positive for Huawei. The Chinese firm just released its end of year report for 2018 and profit is up 25 percent to 59.3 billion CNY, or $8.84 billion, thanks to its fast-growing smartphone and devices business.
Huawei isn’t a public company, but it does release financial reports that are audited by KPMG. The big takeaway from its latest financials is that it has become a hardware company — that’s to say that revenue from consumer devices overtook Huawei’s core telecom business, which involves selling networking gear to carriers.
Overall revenue for 2018 was 721 billion CNY, or $107.4 billion, which represented a 19.5 increase year-on-year.
Huawei said revenue from its consumer business rose by 45 percent to reach 349 billion CNY ($52 billion), with its carrier business dropping 1.3 percent to 294 billion CNY, or $43.8 billion. Enterprise services is the third revenue bucket, and that accounted for the remaining 74.4 billion CNY.
The company is, unsurprisingly, still reliant on China, which accounted for 52 percent of its revenue in 2018, although Huawei saw stronger growth from other global markets. Its business in the Americas, however, lags that of Europe and the Middle East and Asia Pacific in terms of revenue, and that isn’t likely to change soon.
[size=12]Huawei’s end of year financials show its consumer devices business is now its main moneymaker
Huawei is certainly riding some momentum in the consumer space, having launched its latest P30 and P30 Pro smartphones last week — which come with some very impressive camera specs — and generally climbed the smartphone sales chart. Research firm IDC said Huawei grew its shipment volumes 33.6 percent thanks to its Honor brand. The firm ranked Huawei third with 16.1 percent market share in Q4 2018.
It’s on the carrier front where Huawei is being tested hardest.
The Chinese company has fought back against a ban on its equipment in the U.S. through a lawsuit arguing that federal agencies and contractors have violated due process and acted in a way that is unconstitutional. Still, the U.S. concern around national security has been fortified by a U.K. government report released this week, which claimed there are “significant technical issues” around adopting its telecom network kit.
The report, prepared for the National Security Advisor of the U.K. by the Huawei Cyber Security Evaluation Centre (HCSEC) Oversight Board, said it has “not yet seen anything to give it confidence in Huawei’s capacity to successfully complete the elements of its transformation programme that it has proposed as a means of addressing these underlying defects.”
https://techcrunch.com/2019/03/29/huawei-books-8-8b-profit-for-2018/[/size]
Huawei books $8.8B profit for 2018 as consumer devices become top moneymaker
Jon Russell[size=10]@jonrussell / 1:15 pm CET • March 29, 2019
Comment
[/size]
Image Credits: Igor Golovniov/SOPA Images/LightRocket / Getty Images
Despite an ongoing tussle with the U.S. government, signs look positive for Huawei. The Chinese firm just released its end of year report for 2018 and profit is up 25 percent to 59.3 billion CNY, or $8.84 billion, thanks to its fast-growing smartphone and devices business.
Huawei isn’t a public company, but it does release financial reports that are audited by KPMG. The big takeaway from its latest financials is that it has become a hardware company — that’s to say that revenue from consumer devices overtook Huawei’s core telecom business, which involves selling networking gear to carriers.
Overall revenue for 2018 was 721 billion CNY, or $107.4 billion, which represented a 19.5 increase year-on-year.
Huawei said revenue from its consumer business rose by 45 percent to reach 349 billion CNY ($52 billion), with its carrier business dropping 1.3 percent to 294 billion CNY, or $43.8 billion. Enterprise services is the third revenue bucket, and that accounted for the remaining 74.4 billion CNY.
The company is, unsurprisingly, still reliant on China, which accounted for 52 percent of its revenue in 2018, although Huawei saw stronger growth from other global markets. Its business in the Americas, however, lags that of Europe and the Middle East and Asia Pacific in terms of revenue, and that isn’t likely to change soon.
[size=12]Huawei’s end of year financials show its consumer devices business is now its main moneymaker
Huawei is certainly riding some momentum in the consumer space, having launched its latest P30 and P30 Pro smartphones last week — which come with some very impressive camera specs — and generally climbed the smartphone sales chart. Research firm IDC said Huawei grew its shipment volumes 33.6 percent thanks to its Honor brand. The firm ranked Huawei third with 16.1 percent market share in Q4 2018.
It’s on the carrier front where Huawei is being tested hardest.
The Chinese company has fought back against a ban on its equipment in the U.S. through a lawsuit arguing that federal agencies and contractors have violated due process and acted in a way that is unconstitutional. Still, the U.S. concern around national security has been fortified by a U.K. government report released this week, which claimed there are “significant technical issues” around adopting its telecom network kit.
The report, prepared for the National Security Advisor of the U.K. by the Huawei Cyber Security Evaluation Centre (HCSEC) Oversight Board, said it has “not yet seen anything to give it confidence in Huawei’s capacity to successfully complete the elements of its transformation programme that it has proposed as a means of addressing these underlying defects.”
https://techcrunch.com/2019/03/29/huawei-books-8-8b-profit-for-2018/[/size]
Guest- Guest
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
ugrubo receno,Huawei ima godisnji profit u visini ukupnog profita Er-Ha...
Guest- Guest
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
epikur37 wrote:Međutim sada su te komponente zamijenili proizvodi kineske tvrtke Hisense i japanske Murata.
Murat nije Japanac, nego Turčin.
'Bem ti glupe novinare.
crvenkasti-
Posts : 29707
2014-04-17
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
epikur37 wrote:Eno i rusija poklekla nakon sankcija :D
Nemaju kome prodavati, pa moraju sami sebi,
Plinovod 'Snaga Sibira' pušten u pogon
Rusija će Kini godišnje isporučivati 38 milijardi kubnih metara plina.Rusija je u ponedjeljak plinovodom "Snaga Sibira" počela isporučivati plin Kini, javlja agencija Anadolija pozivajući se na saopćenje Kremlja. Predsjednici dvije države Vladimir Putin i Xi Jinping, kako je saopćeno, učestvovali su na ceremoniji videolinkom.
Putin je pozdravio događaj nazvavši ga historijskim i dodao kako će pomoći u unapređivanju rusko-kineske saradnje.
"Ove godine se obilježava 70. godišnjica uspostavljanja diplomatskih odnosa, a ove godine ćemo početi isporučivati ruski plin Kini", rekao je ruski čelnik.
Smatra kako će ovaj korak poboljšati saradnju Kine i Rusije na energetskom polju te doprinijeti ostvarivanju cilja o obimu trgovine od 200 milijardi dolara do 2024. godine.
Obostrana korist
Xi je kazao kako je stavljanje u pogon plinovoda nova faza bilateralnih odnosa Moskve i Pekinga.
"Istočna trasa rusko-kineskog plinovoda je značajan projekt u bilateralnoj energetskoj saradnji, a služi kao model duboke integracije obostrano korisne saradnje naših zemalja", dodao je Xi.
Dogovor o isporuci ruskog plina Kini na period od 30 godina 2014. godine potpisali su ruska korporacija Gazprom i Kineska nacionalna naftna korporacija (CNPC).
Za te potrebe Gazprom je izgradio plinovod "Snaga Sibira" dug 2.200 kilometara.
Prema preliminarnom dogovoru, Rusija će Kini godišnje isporučivati 38 milijardi kubnih metara plina.
crvenkasti-
Posts : 29707
2014-04-17
Re: Huawei počeo proizvodnju bez dijelova iz SAD-a
Rujka pece korofnije...a džem od gunja je vrhunski...ajd zdravo djaci...
Guest- Guest
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