Nova istraživanja: Trump gubi i Texas

Latinosi..

413 vs 124

upamti tu mapu i broj elektorala vidimo se za 2 tjedna :)

Bome i mene sad interesira.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/10/17/final-realclearpolitics-polling-averages-had-hillary-clinton-winning-michigan-wisconsin-and-pennsylvania/

As Breitbart News recently reported, over a dozen polls in October 2016 also showed Clinton with a sizeable lead over Trump nationally. Several showed the former secretary of state holding a double-digit lead:

1. PRRI/Brookings Poll released on October 19: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 15 points
2. NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll released on October 10: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 14 points in a one-on-one contest and 11 points  in a four way race
3. AP Poll released on October 26: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 14 points
4. Monmouth University Poll released on October 17: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 12 points
5. ABC Poll released on October 23: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 12 points
6. Atlantic/PRRI Poll released on October 9: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 11 points
7. Saint Leo University Poll released on October 26: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 11 points
8. USA Today/Suffolk University Poll released on October 27: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by ten points in a one-on-one race and by nine points in a four way race.
9. Fairleigh Dickinson University Poll released on October 6: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by ten points
10. SurveyUSA/Boston Globe Poll released on October 14:  Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by ten points
11. CBS Poll released on October 17: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by nine points
12. Bloomberg Poll released on October 19: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by nine points
13. CNBC Poll released on October 27: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by nine points

Ne vjerujem da ce popusit ni Texas ni Floridu ali svejedno mislim da ce izjanoti.

MaximusDecimusMiridije wrote:Ne vjerujem da ce popusit ni Texas ni Floridu ali svejedno mislim da ce izjanoti.

zapravo, ako Trump dobije Floridu, treba još samo zadržati/dobiti Pensilvaniju gdje je prema ozbiljnim(ne ovim hektorovim anketama) ili izjednačen ili gubi cca 2-3%(dakle statistička greška) i dobija izbore.
čitao sam neke analize, da onaj tko dobije Pensilvaniju, da 80% dobija izbore na razini USA. 

prije sam bio uvjeren u 55:45% pobjedu Bidena, a sada nakon što je izbio ovaj skandal sa Bidena Ukrainom i Kinom(zapravo više manje svi smo znali za taj skandal ali su sada isplivali službeni dokumenti), i pokušaj cenzure i zataškavanja od mainstream medija,  mislim da je već šansa 50:50... u onaj Bloomberg miljarder je uložio stotine milijuna $ da Biden okrene Floridu, a ako neuspije.. sve se svodi na Pensilvaniju.. jer automatski tko dobije Pensilvaniju dobija i Ohio i Iowu i takve swing/state države, i to je dosta recimo Trumpu da dobije izbore..

naravno gubitak Floride - gotovi izbori.. 
gubitak Pensilvanije, i dalje Trump može dobiti, ali onda mora jamiti Winsconsin ili Michigan a te države glasuju isto kao i Pensilvanija, dakle gotovi izbori.. (tkz rust belt)

Tješi se 

:D

AssadNaPodmornici wrote:https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/10/17/final-realclearpolitics-polling-averages-had-hillary-clinton-winning-michigan-wisconsin-and-pennsylvania/

As Breitbart News recently reported, over a dozen polls in October 2016 also showed Clinton with a sizeable lead over Trump nationally. Several showed the former secretary of state holding a double-digit lead:

1. PRRI/Brookings Poll released on October 19: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 15 points
2. NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll released on October 10: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 14 points in a one-on-one contest and 11 points  in a four way race
3. AP Poll released on October 26: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 14 points
4. Monmouth University Poll released on October 17: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 12 points
5. ABC Poll released on October 23: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 12 points
6. Atlantic/PRRI Poll released on October 9: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 11 points
7. Saint Leo University Poll released on October 26: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 11 points
8. USA Today/Suffolk University Poll released on October 27: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by ten points in a one-on-one race and by nine points in a four way race.
9. Fairleigh Dickinson University Poll released on October 6: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by ten points
10. SurveyUSA/Boston Globe Poll released on October 14:  Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by ten points
11. CBS Poll released on October 17: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by nine points
12. Bloomberg Poll released on October 19: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by nine points
13. CNBC Poll released on October 27: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by nine points

Ovo nije national, ovo je State by State

I puši žestoko

Hektorović wrote:

AssadNaPodmornici wrote:https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/10/17/final-realclearpolitics-polling-averages-had-hillary-clinton-winning-michigan-wisconsin-and-pennsylvania/

As Breitbart News recently reported, over a dozen polls in October 2016 also showed Clinton with a sizeable lead over Trump nationally. Several showed the former secretary of state holding a double-digit lead:

1. PRRI/Brookings Poll released on October 19: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 15 points
2. NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll released on October 10: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 14 points in a one-on-one contest and 11 points  in a four way race
3. AP Poll released on October 26: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 14 points
4. Monmouth University Poll released on October 17: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 12 points
5. ABC Poll released on October 23: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 12 points
6. Atlantic/PRRI Poll released on October 9: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 11 points
7. Saint Leo University Poll released on October 26: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 11 points
8. USA Today/Suffolk University Poll released on October 27: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by ten points in a one-on-one race and by nine points in a four way race.
9. Fairleigh Dickinson University Poll released on October 6: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by ten points
10. SurveyUSA/Boston Globe Poll released on October 14:  Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by ten points
11. CBS Poll released on October 17: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by nine points
12. Bloomberg Poll released on October 19: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by nine points
13. CNBC Poll released on October 27: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by nine points

Ovo nije national, ovo je State by State

I puši žestoko

oces da ti iskopam state-by state od prošlih izbora, pa stavio sam ti na temi, gdje je gubio recimo pensilvaniju sa 8% (a dobio je) , bio izjednačen u Ohio, a dobio ga sa 8%, recimo u nekoj državi koja je deep red zaboravio sam koju, bio "tied" prema tim anketama, a na kraju je dobio sa +23 itd.. i texas je i tada bio u igri a onda ga je isto dobio sa +8%..

evo i jedan od šefova Bidenove kampanje govori da će trka biti tijesna.. i biti će..

gotov je a izgubit od bidena je smijesno

Teško da će texašani izabrati administraciju koja će upropastiti industriju nafte, uzeti im oružje i zatvoriti crkve...

Btw. u tzv. swing državama republikanci bilježe duplo više novoregistriranih birača...
Koje nikakve ankete ne uzimaju u račun...
Čak i msnbc izvještava...

biti će tjesno, a mogao bi lagano i Trump dobiti.. aj držimo fige i navijamo..

Amerika ode u tri lipe, ko god da pobidi. Ali za krampu navijam jerbo je malo gluplji pa će taj sunovrat brže ići.