Neoconsi (ponovno) planiraju napad na Siriju
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Neoconsi (ponovno) planiraju napad na Siriju
[size=31]Stopping Russia starts in Syria
Striking Al Assad’s forces might not end the civil war there, but it could prevent the eruption of a new one in Ukraine
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The solution to the crisis in Ukraine lies in part in Syria. It is time for US President Barack Obama to demonstrate that he can order the offensive use of force in circumstances other than secret drone attacks or covert operations. The result will change the strategic calculus not only in Damascus, but also in Moscow, not to mention Beijing and Tokyo.
Many argue that Obama’s climb-down from his threatened missile strikes against Syria last August emboldened Russian President Vladimir Putin to annex Crimea. But it is more likely that Putin acted for domestic reasons — to distract Russians’ attention from their country’s failing economy and to salve the humiliation of watching pro-European demonstrators oust the Ukrainian government he backed.
Regardless of Putin’s initial motivations, he is now operating in an environment in which he is quite certain of the parameters of play. He is weighing the value of further dismemberment of Ukraine, with some pieces either joining Russia or becoming Russian vassal states, against the pain of much stronger and more comprehensive economic sanctions. Western use of force, other than to send arms to a fairly hapless Ukrainian army, is not part of the equation.
That is a problem. In the case of Syria, the US, the world’s largest and most flexible military power, has chosen to negotiate with its hands tied behind its back for more than three years. This is no less of a mistake in the case of Russia, with a leader like Putin who measures himself and his fellow leaders in terms of crude machismo.
It is time to change Putin’s calculations, and Syria is the place to do it. Through a combination of mortars that shatter entire city quarters, starvation, hypothermia, and now barrel bombs that spray nails and shrapnel indiscriminately, President Bashar Al Assad’s forces have seized the advantage. Slowly but surely, the government is reclaiming rebel-held territory.
“Realist” foreign policy analysts openly describe Al Assad as the lesser evil compared to the Al Qaida-affiliated members of the opposition; others see an advantage in letting all sides fight it out, tying one another down for years. Moreover, the Syrian government does appear to be slowly giving up its chemical weapons, as it agreed last September to do.
The problem is that if Al Assad continues to believe that he can do anything to his people except kill them with chemicals, he will exterminate his opponents, slaughtering everyone he captures and punishing entire communities, just as his father, Hafez Al Assad, massacred the residents of Hama in 1982. He has demonstrated repeatedly that he is cut from the same ruthless cloth. Since the beginning of the Syrian conflict, Al Assad has fanned fears of what Sunni opposition forces might do to the Alawites, Druze, Christians and other minorities if they won. But we need not speculate about Al Assad’s behaviour. We have seen enough.
A US strike against the Syrian government now would change the entire dynamic. It would either force the regime back to the negotiating table with a genuine intention of reaching a settlement, or at least make it clear that Al Assad will not have a free hand in re-establishing his rule.
It is impossible to strike Syria legally so long as Russia sits on the United Nations Security Council, given its ability to veto any resolution authorising the use of force. But even Russia agreed in February to Resolution 2139, designed to compel the Syrian government to increase flows of humanitarian aid to starving and wounded civilians. Among other things, Resolution 2139 requires that “all parties immediately cease all attacks against civilians, as well as the indiscriminate employment of weapons in populated areas, including shelling and aerial bombardment, such as the use of barrel bombs….”
The US, together with as many countries as will cooperate, could use force to eliminate Syria’s fixed-wing aircraft as a first step toward enforcing Resolution 2139. “Aerial bombardment” would still likely continue via helicopter, but such a strike would announce immediately that the game has changed. After the strike, the US, France, and Britain should ask for the Security Council’s approval of the action taken, as they did after Nato’s intervention in Kosovo in 1999.
Equally important, shots fired by the US in Syria will echo loudly in Russia. The great irony is that Putin is now seeking to do in Ukraine exactly what Al Assad has done so successfully: portray a legitimate political opposition as a gang of thugs and terrorists, while relying on provocations and lies to turn non-violent protest into violent attacks that then justify an armed response.
Recall that the Syrian opposition marched peacefully under fire for six months before the first units of the Free Syrian Army tentatively began to form. In Ukraine, Putin would be happy to turn a peaceful opposition’s ouster of a corrupt government into a civil war.
Putin may believe, as western powers have repeatedly told their own citizens, that Nato forces will never risk the possibility of nuclear war by deploying in Ukraine. Perhaps not. But the Russian forces destabilising eastern Ukraine wear no insignia. Mystery soldiers can fight on both sides.
Putting force on the table in resolving the Ukraine crisis, even force used in Syria, is particularly important because economic pressure on Russia, as critical as it is in the western portfolio of responses, can create a perverse incentive for Putin. As the Russian rouble falls and foreign investment dries up, the Russian population will become restive, giving him even more reason to distract them with patriotic spectacles welcoming still more “Russians” back to the motherland.
Obama took office with the aim of ending wars, not starting them. But if the US meets bullets with words, tyrants will draw their own conclusions. So will allies; Japan, for example, is now wondering how the US will respond should China manufacture a crisis over the disputed Senkaku Islands.
To lead effectively, in both the national and the global interests, the US must demonstrate its readiness to shoulder the full responsibilities of power. Striking Syria might not end the civil war there, but it could prevent the eruption of a new one in Ukraine.
— Project Syndicate, 2014
Anne-Marie Slaughter, President and CEO of the New America Foundation, is the author of The Idea That Is America: Keeping Faith with Our Values in a Dangerous World.
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Striking Al Assad’s forces might not end the civil war there, but it could prevent the eruption of a new one in Ukraine
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- By Anne-Marie Slaughter | Special to Gulf News
- Published: 20:00 April 27, 2014
- Share on facebookShare on twitterShare on emailShare on printMore Sharing Services2
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The solution to the crisis in Ukraine lies in part in Syria. It is time for US President Barack Obama to demonstrate that he can order the offensive use of force in circumstances other than secret drone attacks or covert operations. The result will change the strategic calculus not only in Damascus, but also in Moscow, not to mention Beijing and Tokyo.
Many argue that Obama’s climb-down from his threatened missile strikes against Syria last August emboldened Russian President Vladimir Putin to annex Crimea. But it is more likely that Putin acted for domestic reasons — to distract Russians’ attention from their country’s failing economy and to salve the humiliation of watching pro-European demonstrators oust the Ukrainian government he backed.
Regardless of Putin’s initial motivations, he is now operating in an environment in which he is quite certain of the parameters of play. He is weighing the value of further dismemberment of Ukraine, with some pieces either joining Russia or becoming Russian vassal states, against the pain of much stronger and more comprehensive economic sanctions. Western use of force, other than to send arms to a fairly hapless Ukrainian army, is not part of the equation.
That is a problem. In the case of Syria, the US, the world’s largest and most flexible military power, has chosen to negotiate with its hands tied behind its back for more than three years. This is no less of a mistake in the case of Russia, with a leader like Putin who measures himself and his fellow leaders in terms of crude machismo.
It is time to change Putin’s calculations, and Syria is the place to do it. Through a combination of mortars that shatter entire city quarters, starvation, hypothermia, and now barrel bombs that spray nails and shrapnel indiscriminately, President Bashar Al Assad’s forces have seized the advantage. Slowly but surely, the government is reclaiming rebel-held territory.
“Realist” foreign policy analysts openly describe Al Assad as the lesser evil compared to the Al Qaida-affiliated members of the opposition; others see an advantage in letting all sides fight it out, tying one another down for years. Moreover, the Syrian government does appear to be slowly giving up its chemical weapons, as it agreed last September to do.
The problem is that if Al Assad continues to believe that he can do anything to his people except kill them with chemicals, he will exterminate his opponents, slaughtering everyone he captures and punishing entire communities, just as his father, Hafez Al Assad, massacred the residents of Hama in 1982. He has demonstrated repeatedly that he is cut from the same ruthless cloth. Since the beginning of the Syrian conflict, Al Assad has fanned fears of what Sunni opposition forces might do to the Alawites, Druze, Christians and other minorities if they won. But we need not speculate about Al Assad’s behaviour. We have seen enough.
A US strike against the Syrian government now would change the entire dynamic. It would either force the regime back to the negotiating table with a genuine intention of reaching a settlement, or at least make it clear that Al Assad will not have a free hand in re-establishing his rule.
It is impossible to strike Syria legally so long as Russia sits on the United Nations Security Council, given its ability to veto any resolution authorising the use of force. But even Russia agreed in February to Resolution 2139, designed to compel the Syrian government to increase flows of humanitarian aid to starving and wounded civilians. Among other things, Resolution 2139 requires that “all parties immediately cease all attacks against civilians, as well as the indiscriminate employment of weapons in populated areas, including shelling and aerial bombardment, such as the use of barrel bombs….”
The US, together with as many countries as will cooperate, could use force to eliminate Syria’s fixed-wing aircraft as a first step toward enforcing Resolution 2139. “Aerial bombardment” would still likely continue via helicopter, but such a strike would announce immediately that the game has changed. After the strike, the US, France, and Britain should ask for the Security Council’s approval of the action taken, as they did after Nato’s intervention in Kosovo in 1999.
Equally important, shots fired by the US in Syria will echo loudly in Russia. The great irony is that Putin is now seeking to do in Ukraine exactly what Al Assad has done so successfully: portray a legitimate political opposition as a gang of thugs and terrorists, while relying on provocations and lies to turn non-violent protest into violent attacks that then justify an armed response.
Recall that the Syrian opposition marched peacefully under fire for six months before the first units of the Free Syrian Army tentatively began to form. In Ukraine, Putin would be happy to turn a peaceful opposition’s ouster of a corrupt government into a civil war.
Putin may believe, as western powers have repeatedly told their own citizens, that Nato forces will never risk the possibility of nuclear war by deploying in Ukraine. Perhaps not. But the Russian forces destabilising eastern Ukraine wear no insignia. Mystery soldiers can fight on both sides.
Putting force on the table in resolving the Ukraine crisis, even force used in Syria, is particularly important because economic pressure on Russia, as critical as it is in the western portfolio of responses, can create a perverse incentive for Putin. As the Russian rouble falls and foreign investment dries up, the Russian population will become restive, giving him even more reason to distract them with patriotic spectacles welcoming still more “Russians” back to the motherland.
Obama took office with the aim of ending wars, not starting them. But if the US meets bullets with words, tyrants will draw their own conclusions. So will allies; Japan, for example, is now wondering how the US will respond should China manufacture a crisis over the disputed Senkaku Islands.
To lead effectively, in both the national and the global interests, the US must demonstrate its readiness to shoulder the full responsibilities of power. Striking Syria might not end the civil war there, but it could prevent the eruption of a new one in Ukraine.
— Project Syndicate, 2014
Anne-Marie Slaughter, President and CEO of the New America Foundation, is the author of The Idea That Is America: Keeping Faith with Our Values in a Dangerous World.
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Kermit-
Posts : 26479
2014-04-17
Re: Neoconsi (ponovno) planiraju napad na Siriju
Autorica teksta: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anne-Marie_Slaughter
ovo je organizacija (think tank): http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_America_Foundation
ovo je organizacija (think tank): http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_America_Foundation
Kermit-
Posts : 26479
2014-04-17
Re: Neoconsi (ponovno) planiraju napad na Siriju
čudi me da navodno izuzetno veliki intelektualci i pred, think tankova, profeosri i dr. pišu ovakva pojednostavljena propagadna sranja, ono oni će bombardirtati Siriju, UN će odobriti salnje Nato trupa (većinski iz EU ???), Rusija propada kroz godinu dvije, u Ukrajini Rusi prestaju braniti svoje interese i na kraju Majdan 2 u Moskvi sam što nije. Za nekog tko je ('66 University Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University and was formerly Dean of Princeton's Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs.[1][2][3] She is an academic, foreign policy analyst, and public commentator through the old and new media. She served as Director of Policy Planning for the U.S. State Department from January 2009 until February 2011.[1][4] She is an international lawyer and political scientist who has taught at the University of Chicago and HarvardUniversity, and is a former president of the American Society of International Law. In 2013, Slaughter was named President of the New America Foundation) malo je čudno da piše ovako šta...
Kermit-
Posts : 26479
2014-04-17
Re: Neoconsi (ponovno) planiraju napad na Siriju
Sad je najbolje vrijeme za zracne napade na Siriju. Rusija je zauzeta svojim lokalnim trzavicama.
RayMabus- Posts : 184137
2014-04-11
Re: Neoconsi (ponovno) planiraju napad na Siriju
Rok za deportiranje kemijskog oružja iz ratom zahvaćene Sirije istječe danas, a u zemlji se nalazi još osam posto kemijskog oružja.
Koordinatorica zajedničke misije Organizacije za zabranu kemijskog oružja (OPCW) i Ujedinjenih naroda (UN) Sigrid Kaag kazala je da je iz Sirije deportirano 92 posto kemijskog oružja, ali da se osam posto još nalazi u zemlji, javlja Anadolija.
Rok za uništenje 30. lipnja
Kaag je, govoreći na konferenciji za medije u Damasku, izrazila uvjerenje da će kemijsko oružje u potpunosti biti deportirano iz Sirije do 30. lipnja, kada istječe rok za potpuno uništenje oružja.
Kako je navela, najvažniji cilj, ali i obaveza, je da se preostalih osam posto kemijskog oružja deportira iz zemlje. Pojasnila je da će se deportiranjem ukloniti i rizik da oružje padne u "opasne ruke".
Prema ranije utvrđenom planu OPCW-a, kemikalije trebale su se do 5. veljače na siguran način deportirati iz Sirije, a rok za potpuno uništenje je lipanj ove godine.
Međutim, sirijske vlasti su zbog različitih razloga koji su doveli do kašnjenja deportiranja i uništavanja kemikalija uputile novi izvještaj u kojem se navodi da će sve zalihe oružja do kraja travnja biti deportirane iz zemlje.
Uništavanje na otvorenom moru
Kemijske supstance se deportiraju pomorskim putem do jedne luke u Italiji, tamo ih preuzimaju snage Sjedinjenih Američkih Država, koje će ih uništiti na otvorenom moru.
OPCW navodi kako je osnovan poseban fond za uništenje, a očekuje se da će u prvoj fazi biti utrošeno gotovo 40 milijuna eura.
Napori za uništenje sirijskog kemijskog oružja počeli su nakon napada kemijskim oružjem u kojem su ubijene na stotine ljudi u predgrađu Damaska, 21. kolovoza prošle godine.
http://balkans.aljazeera.net/vijesti/istice-rok-hemijsko-oruzje-jos-u-siriji
Koordinatorica zajedničke misije Organizacije za zabranu kemijskog oružja (OPCW) i Ujedinjenih naroda (UN) Sigrid Kaag kazala je da je iz Sirije deportirano 92 posto kemijskog oružja, ali da se osam posto još nalazi u zemlji, javlja Anadolija.
Rok za uništenje 30. lipnja
Kaag je, govoreći na konferenciji za medije u Damasku, izrazila uvjerenje da će kemijsko oružje u potpunosti biti deportirano iz Sirije do 30. lipnja, kada istječe rok za potpuno uništenje oružja.
Kako je navela, najvažniji cilj, ali i obaveza, je da se preostalih osam posto kemijskog oružja deportira iz zemlje. Pojasnila je da će se deportiranjem ukloniti i rizik da oružje padne u "opasne ruke".
Prema ranije utvrđenom planu OPCW-a, kemikalije trebale su se do 5. veljače na siguran način deportirati iz Sirije, a rok za potpuno uništenje je lipanj ove godine.
Međutim, sirijske vlasti su zbog različitih razloga koji su doveli do kašnjenja deportiranja i uništavanja kemikalija uputile novi izvještaj u kojem se navodi da će sve zalihe oružja do kraja travnja biti deportirane iz zemlje.
Uništavanje na otvorenom moru
Kemijske supstance se deportiraju pomorskim putem do jedne luke u Italiji, tamo ih preuzimaju snage Sjedinjenih Američkih Država, koje će ih uništiti na otvorenom moru.
OPCW navodi kako je osnovan poseban fond za uništenje, a očekuje se da će u prvoj fazi biti utrošeno gotovo 40 milijuna eura.
Napori za uništenje sirijskog kemijskog oružja počeli su nakon napada kemijskim oružjem u kojem su ubijene na stotine ljudi u predgrađu Damaska, 21. kolovoza prošle godine.
http://balkans.aljazeera.net/vijesti/istice-rok-hemijsko-oruzje-jos-u-siriji
RayMabus- Posts : 184137
2014-04-11
Re: Neoconsi (ponovno) planiraju napad na Siriju
mediteran nije "otvoreno more"
Uništavanje na otvorenom moru
Kemijske supstance se deportiraju pomorskim putem do jedne luke u Italiji, tamo ih preuzimaju snage Sjedinjenih Američkih Država, koje će ih uništiti na otvorenom moru.
_________________
"Universal truth is not measured in mass appeal"
shaby- Posts : 284
2014-04-19
Re: Neoconsi (ponovno) planiraju napad na Siriju
Mogu oni planirati ali ništa od toga
dabrov_brk- Posts : 78
2014-04-14
Re: Neoconsi (ponovno) planiraju napad na Siriju
[size=82]Rebellen räumen [/size]
[size=82]Ex-Hochburg Homs[/size]
Das Assad-Regime soll mit Rebellen in der Altstadt von Homs eine Waffenruhe vereinbart haben. Das melden regierungstreue Medien und die Organisation Syrischer Menschenrechtsbeobachter übereinstimmend.
Die Vereinbarung, die in der Nacht zum Freitag in Kraft treten sollte, sieht vor, dass sich die rund 1000 Rebellenkämpfer in das nördliche Umland von Homs zurückziehen.
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Syriens drittgrößte Stadt (eine Mio. Einwohner) galt während des seit drei Jahren anhaltenden Bürgerkriegs lange als Hochburg der Rebellen, wurde auch "Hauptstadt der Revolution" genannt.
In heftigen Gefechten brachten die Regierungstruppen die Stadt jedoch in den vergangenen Monaten weitgehend unter ihre Kontrolle.
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Preko 1 000 islamističkih terorista napustilo je Homs. Nakon par mjeseci žestokih borbi snage sirijske vojske, protjerali su pobunjenike.
[size=82]Ex-Hochburg Homs[/size]
Das Assad-Regime soll mit Rebellen in der Altstadt von Homs eine Waffenruhe vereinbart haben. Das melden regierungstreue Medien und die Organisation Syrischer Menschenrechtsbeobachter übereinstimmend.
Die Vereinbarung, die in der Nacht zum Freitag in Kraft treten sollte, sieht vor, dass sich die rund 1000 Rebellenkämpfer in das nördliche Umland von Homs zurückziehen.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Syriens drittgrößte Stadt (eine Mio. Einwohner) galt während des seit drei Jahren anhaltenden Bürgerkriegs lange als Hochburg der Rebellen, wurde auch "Hauptstadt der Revolution" genannt.
In heftigen Gefechten brachten die Regierungstruppen die Stadt jedoch in den vergangenen Monaten weitgehend unter ihre Kontrolle.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Preko 1 000 islamističkih terorista napustilo je Homs. Nakon par mjeseci žestokih borbi snage sirijske vojske, protjerali su pobunjenike.
Yehudi- Posts : 14715
2014-04-20
Re: Neoconsi (ponovno) planiraju napad na Siriju
SYRIEN-
Armee rückt auf strategisch wichtige Stadt Mleiha vor
04.05.2014 · In Syrien steht Assad offenbar vor der Rückeroberung der östlich von Damaskus liegenden Stadt Mleiha. Für Al Qaida-Führer Sawahiri sind sie ein „Desaster“.
Die syrische Armee ist am Sonntag auf die strategisch wichtige Stadt Mleiha an der Straße zum Flughafen von Damaskus vorgerückt. Mehr als die Hälfte der Stadt sei bereits unter Kontrolle der Armee, sagte ein Militärvertreter. Das Rathaus ebenso wie die Felder und Straßen im Süden, Westen und Südosten der Stadt seien in der Hand der Regierungstruppen.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mleiha, grad istočno od Damaska, od subote u rukama je sirijske vojske. Vijećnica, ulice, polja zgrade južno,zapadno i jugoistočno od grada kontrolira SAA.
Vodja al-kaide Sawahiri nazvao je katastrofom gubitak ovoga grada.
Armee rückt auf strategisch wichtige Stadt Mleiha vor
04.05.2014 · In Syrien steht Assad offenbar vor der Rückeroberung der östlich von Damaskus liegenden Stadt Mleiha. Für Al Qaida-Führer Sawahiri sind sie ein „Desaster“.
Die syrische Armee ist am Sonntag auf die strategisch wichtige Stadt Mleiha an der Straße zum Flughafen von Damaskus vorgerückt. Mehr als die Hälfte der Stadt sei bereits unter Kontrolle der Armee, sagte ein Militärvertreter. Das Rathaus ebenso wie die Felder und Straßen im Süden, Westen und Südosten der Stadt seien in der Hand der Regierungstruppen.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mleiha, grad istočno od Damaska, od subote u rukama je sirijske vojske. Vijećnica, ulice, polja zgrade južno,zapadno i jugoistočno od grada kontrolira SAA.
Vodja al-kaide Sawahiri nazvao je katastrofom gubitak ovoga grada.
Yehudi- Posts : 14715
2014-04-20
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